As the empire continues to collapse, losing foreign wars but turning inward upon its own citizens with threats and bluster, its military forces will continue to embarrass themselves. In particular, the US Navy will soon be revealed as a wet paper tiger, boasting a carrier battle group (CBG) force structure designed solely to punish small-state defectors from the petrodollar, rather than having any connection whatsoever to the historical missions of power projection and sea control. When faced with a sufficiently determined “near peer” adversary, the CBG is likely to collapse like a house of cards. This is a fact which has been known through wargaming since the mid-1970s, and through internal DoD studies since the late 1950s. The author’s credentials to make the bold claims in this article are substantiated at the end of this piece. Although the predictions are grim, former provinces (i.e., “states”) of the collapsing empire can benefit from the correct interpretations of these issues. In other words, it is completely unnecessary to defeat, or even combat, the dying empire, it is only necessary to not lose to it.
Carrier Battle Group (CBG) History
The modern composition, theory and public perception of the US Navy CBG is based on a single heavily-biased precedent, that of fighting the Japanese Navy in the Pacific during World War II. This CBG-vs-CBG is an historical anomaly that will never again be repeated. Because of its victory in that war, the US Navy learned the wrong lessons. Every other observant nation learned the correct lesson, which is that the Japanese Navy abandoned its natural maritime aviation (defined later) high ground, to its detriment.
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